Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Khedira (81')
Laidouni (45+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Philipp (50'), Pavlenka (68'), Bittencourt (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 3-1 Werder Bremen

Despite their recent wobble in form, Union Berlin will be regarded as favourites to come out on top against a Werder Bremen side who have been struggling to grind out positive results for some time. Fischer is sure to have a constant eye on Freiburg's result throughout Saturday afternoon, but as long as his side can claim a victory, preferably a convincing one, they should do enough to book their place in next season's Champions League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Werder Bremen
60.16% ( 0.06)	21.67% ( -0.02)	18.17% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.81% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.31% (

0.05)

44.69% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95% (

0.05)

67.06% (

-0.04)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.57% (

0.03)

14.43% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.63% (

0.06)

42.37% (

-0.06)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.72% (

-0)

38.29% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.96% (

-0.01)

75.05% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 60.15%

Werder Bremen 18.17%

Draw 21.66%

Union Berlin	Draw	Werder Bremen
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 60.15%	1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.66%	0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.17%