Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.67%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
14.04% ( -0.1) | 21.21% ( 0.28) | 64.74% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 45.24% ( -1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.9% ( -1.33) | 50.09% ( 1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.93% ( -1.19) | 72.06% ( 1.18) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.06% ( -0.96) | 46.93% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.56% ( -0.74) | 82.44% ( 0.73) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.24% ( -0.49) | 14.75% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.01% ( -0.93) | 42.98% ( 0.93) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.98% 3-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.16% Total : 14.04% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.21% | 0-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 12.67% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 3.87% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.19% Total : 64.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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