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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | FC Koln |
43.35% ( -0.2) | 23.33% ( 0.13) | 33.32% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 63.15% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.67% ( -0.62) | 38.33% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.38% ( -0.66) | 60.61% ( 0.66) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.89% ( -0.33) | 18.1% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.96% ( -0.57) | 49.03% ( 0.57) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.11% ( -0.26) | 22.88% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.36% ( -0.38) | 56.63% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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