Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Bittencourt (14'), Friedl (36'), Deman (54')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Deman (9' og.), Frimpong (42'), Grimaldo (76')
Grimaldo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Frankfurt
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

We said: Werder Bremen 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

The fact Leverkusen are still yet to stumble suggests they could maintain their challenge at the top, and they should have enough to navigate their way past a potentially tricky test here against Werder. Alonso will hope they can get through this week still on top and past Hacken with limited fuss in midweek, before a huge trip to Borussia Dortmund next weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
17.72% ( 0.13)	20.29% ( -0.06)	61.98% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 56.68% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.85% (

0.49)

39.14% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.53% (

0.52)

61.47% (

-0.52)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.51% (

0.44)

35.48% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.75% (

0.46)

72.25% (

-0.46)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.86% (

0.13)

12.13% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.27% (

0.27)

37.72% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 17.73%

Bayer Leverkusen 61.98%

Draw 20.29%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 17.73%	1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.29%	1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 61.98%