Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
4 - 0
Mainz

Ducksch (3' pen.), Stage (53'), Bittencourt (82'), Njinmah (83')
Stage (10'), Friedl (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hanche-Olsen (2'), van den Berg (65'), van den Berg (65+65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Mainz 05

Neither side are likely to be particularly confident after failing to win either of their opening two matches apiece, and there could be an element of cancelling each other out given that both managers adopt similar formations. However, there is enough quality in both teams' offensive units to produce an entertaining enough encounter, and we can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides who should have enough about them to avoid being automatically relegated. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Mainz 05
33.21% ( -0.13)	23.84% ( 0.02)	42.94% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 61.2% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.13% (

-0.18)

40.86% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.74% (

-0.18)

63.25% (

0.18)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.85% (

-0.16)

24.15% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53% (

-0.23)

58.46% (

0.22)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69% (

-0.03)

19.31% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.93% (

-0.05)

51.06% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 33.21%

Mainz 05 42.94%

Draw 23.84%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.21%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.84%	1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 42.94%