Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
1 - 1
Dortmund

Gerhardt (63')
Gerhardt (71'), Arnold (90+7'), Jenz (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fullkrug (8')
Moukoko (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 Freiburg
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wolfsburg 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund have been superb in 2024, and with almost a full complement available to Terzic, they could hand out more misery on Wolfsburg here. Already in the midst of a six-game winless run, Kovac could hardly have asked for many tougher challenges to arrest that run, and Wolfsburg's dismal record against Dortmund only further shortens their chance of success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Wolfsburg has a probability of 27.56% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win is 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.18%).

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
27.56% ( 1.24)	22.63% ( 0.59)	49.81% ( -1.83)

Both teams to score 62.17% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.86% (

-1.82)

38.14% (

1.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.58% (

-1.96)

60.41% (

1.96)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64% (

-0.09)

26.36% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.5% (

-0.11)

61.5% (

0.11)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.42% (

-1.27)

15.58% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.45% (

-2.42)

44.54% (

2.42)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 27.56%

Borussia Dortmund 49.81%

Draw 22.63%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.56%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.63%	1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.27) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.18) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.84% Total : 49.81%