Serie B | 1st Leg

May 21, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro
2 - 2
Cremonese

(Cremonese win 6-3 on aggregate)

Biasci (51'), Brignola (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tsadjout (14'), Ciofani (50')
Vazquez (37'), Quagliata (60')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie B playoff between Catanzaro and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Catanzaro

All competitions

Last Game: Catanzaro 4-2 Brescia
Saturday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Last Game: Cremonese 3-0 Cittadella
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Catanzaro 1-1 Cremonese

A 36-year wait for Serie A football has left Catanzaro fans desperate for a top-flight return, but having only shot up from the third tier last season, they may find the playoffs one step too far. Cremonese can come away from the Ceravolo with a draw for the second time this term, setting up a chance to win the tie on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Cremonese
31.11% ( 0.26)	25.3% ( 0.07)	43.58% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 55.24% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.72% (

-0.19)

48.28% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.57% (

-0.18)

70.43% (

0.18)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.93% (

0.08)

29.07% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.02% (

0.1)

64.98% (

-0.1)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

-0.24)

22.12% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

-0.36)

55.49% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 31.11%

Cremonese 43.58%

Draw 25.3%

Catanzaro	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.11%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.58%