Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36

May 21, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
0 - 5
Rennes

Vidal (57')
Alphonse (63')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Santamaria (14'), Gouiri (31', 40', 71'), Doku (37')
Belocian (45+1'), Assignon (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 4-0 Troyes
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

While struggling Ajaccio have failed to score in eight of their last 10 matches, European-chasing Rennes have netted nine goals across their previous three outings. For that reason, we can see the visitors cruising to a comfortable victory in Corsica, with the hosts expected to fire a fifth successive blank. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Rennes
23.31% ( -0.03)	25.94% ( -0)	50.75% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.37% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.29% (

-0.01)

55.7% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.15% (

-0.01)

76.85% (

0.01)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.73% (

-0.04)

39.27% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.02% (

-0.03)

75.97% (

0.03)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99% (

0.01)

22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.68% (

0.02)

55.32% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 23.31%

Rennes 50.75%

Draw 25.93%

Ajaccio	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.31%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 50.75%