La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 10, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Gorosabel (44')
Abqar (28'), Blanco (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Isi (13'), Espino (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Alaves
Monday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Alaves 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

It is difficult to back either side with any real confidence at the moment, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday. Alaves have drawn eight times in the league this season, while Rayo have shared the points on 11 occasions, and we are predicting 1-1 this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
45.67% ( -0.03)	28.58% ( 0.09)	25.74% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 42.58% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.02% (

-0.31)

62.98% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.54% (

-0.22)

82.45% (

0.23)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34% (

-0.16)

27.66% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.79% (

-0.21)

63.21% (

0.21)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.87% (

-0.23)

41.13% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.33% (

-0.2)

77.67% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Alaves 45.67%

Rayo Vallecano 25.74%

Draw 28.57%

Alaves	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 45.67%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.24% Total : 25.74%