La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 27, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
1 - 3
Getafe

Lozano (41')
Montes (38'), Embarba (50'), Robertone (55'), Viera (86')
Viera (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Greenwood (27', 48'), Mata (61')
Alderete (26'), Greenwood (60'), Martin (86'), Santiago (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 1-2 Villarreal
Sunday, April 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, April 21 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria have only won once in the league this season, and that success came on their travels. It is so difficult to back them to pick up all three points in any match, and Getafe have drawn eight times on the road this season, which is the highest in the division. We can see another stalemate here, which would confirm Almeria's relegation with five games left. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Getafe
38.78% ( -0.07)	27.14% ( 0.02)	34.08% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.28% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.93% (

-0.08)

55.07% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.67% (

-0.06)

76.33% (

0.06)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35% (

-0.08)

27.65% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.81% (

-0.1)

63.19% (

0.1)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.5% (

-0.01)

30.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.28% (

-0.01)

66.72% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Almeria 38.78%

Getafe 34.08%

Draw 27.13%

Almeria	Draw	Getafe
1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.78%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.08%