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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Arsenal
0 - 2
Aston Villa


White (36'), Magalhaes (45'), Havertz (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bailey (84'), Watkins (87')
Rogers (14')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal suffer a setback in their Premier League title bid after they concede two late goals to lose 2-0 to Aston Villa at the Emirates.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa at the Emirates.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Bayern
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Lille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
67.29% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21) 18.34% (0.149 0.15) 14.37% (0.065 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.74% (-0.385 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.38% (-0.577 -0.58)36.62% (0.582 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.22% (-0.632 -0.63)58.78% (0.637 0.64)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.97% (-0.205 -0.2)10.02% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.92% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)33.08% (0.486 0.49)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94% (-0.28299999999999 -0.28)38.05% (0.288 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (-0.277 -0.28)74.82% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 67.29%
    Aston Villa 14.37%
    Draw 18.34%
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 7.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.45% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.3% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.05% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 67.29%
1-1 @ 8.48% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.34%
1-2 @ 4.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.78% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.37%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Aston Villa

Arsenal
72.8%
Draw
17.5%
Aston Villa
9.7%
206
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Aston Villa
1-0
Arsenal
McGinn (7')
Digne (53'), Luiz (62'), McGinn (73'), Carlos (88')

Zinchenko (28'), Rice (77')
Feb 18, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Aston Villa
2-4
Arsenal
Watkins (5'), Coutinho (31')
Saka (16'), Zinchenko (61'), Martinez (90+3' og.), Martinelli (90+8')
Aug 31, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Arsenal
2-1
Aston Villa
Jesus (30'), Martinelli (77')
Luiz (74')
Mar 19, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 30
Aston Villa
0-1
Arsenal

Ramsey (15'), Mings (33'), McGinn (34')
Saka (30')
Xhaka (45+1'), Soares (57'), Partey (65')
Oct 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal
3-1
Aston Villa
Partey (23'), Aubameyang (45+6'), Smith Rowe (56')
Sambi Lokonga (45+1'), Aubameyang (66')
Ramsey (82')
Watkins (2'), Mings (27'), McGinn (32'), Targett (60'), Luiz (84')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
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8pm
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Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
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Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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