Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 24, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
1 - 0
Lille

Fofana (61')
Akliouche (38')

FT(HT: 0-0)

David (54'), Bouaddi (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Despite both sides winning three games on the trot, Wednesday's game is tricky to call. Monaco's form at Stade Louis II is questionable, while Lille's road results leave much to be desired. The home side's 11-game undefeated streak against the Mastiffs should become 12, with both sides possibly cancelling each other out in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Lille
41.13% ( -0.27)	25.27% ( -0.06)	33.6% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 56.28% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.65% (

0.34)

47.35% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.43% (

0.32)

69.57% (

-0.32)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11% (

0.01)

22.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.36% (

0.02)

56.64% (

-0.02)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98% (

0.37)

27.02% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.63% (

0.48)

62.37% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Monaco 41.13%

Lille 33.6%

Draw 25.27%

Monaco	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.13%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.6%