Aston Villa

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Arsenal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.