After struggling on home turf this season, Aston Villa have shown signs of improvement to take four points from their last two home league matches, and we think that the Villans will do enough to pick up a point from Sunday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Liverpool Women win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa Women	Draw	Liverpool Women
50.33% ( -0.19)	22.16% ( -0.23)	27.5% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 63.84% (

1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.07% (

1.48)

35.93% (

-1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.98% (

1.61)

58.02% (

-1.61)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.4% (

0.47)

14.6% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.31% (

0.89)

42.69% (

-0.89)

Liverpool Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

1.06)

25.25% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

1.44)

60% (

-1.43)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Women 50.33%

Liverpool Women 27.5%

Draw 22.16%

Aston Villa Women	Draw	Liverpool Women
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.33%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.16%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.49% Total : 27.5%