Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta4 - 1Fiorentina
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Atalanta
Sunday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina (2-2 on aggregate; Atalanta win on penalties)
After Fiorentina dominated the first leg, roles could be reversed this week, as Atalanta are a force to be reckoned with on home soil and the Viola do not travel all that well. Still, two well-matched teams may need a penalty shootout to separate them. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
41.23% ( 0.04) | 25.56% | 33.21% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.27% | 48.73% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.16% ( -0) | 70.84% ( 0) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( 0.02) | 23.44% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% ( 0.03) | 57.45% ( -0.02) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% ( -0.02) | 27.93% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.44% ( -0.03) | 63.56% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC 41.23%
Fiorentina 33.21%
Draw 25.56%
Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.23% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.21% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina
Atalanta BC
75.4%Draw
12.3%Fiorentina
12.3%114
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Mar 18, 2024 12am
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
P-P
Fiorentina
Sep 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Fiorentina
3-2
Atalanta
Apr 17, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 2, 2022 5pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 10:40:30
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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