La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Mar 16, 2024 at 8pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Alaves

Guruzeta (32', 37')
Williams (54'), Garcia (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Benavidez (80'), Abqar (86'), Blanco (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 10 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves

Alaves deserve huge praise for their performance level this season, and the visitors certainly have the ability to make this an uncomfortable match for Athletic. The hosts need to keep winning to stay in the top-four picture, though, and we are backing them to secure all three points on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Alaves
55.04% ( 0.03)	24.99% ( 0.01)	19.96% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 45.83% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.46% (

-0.09)

55.54% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.29% (

-0.08)

76.71% (

0.08)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85% (

-0.02)

20.15% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.56% (

-0.04)

52.44% (

0.04)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.4% (

-0.1)

42.6% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.05% (

-0.09)

78.95% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 55.04%

Alaves 19.96%

Draw 24.99%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 55.04%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.96%