La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 2, 2024 at 8pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 0
Mallorca

Berchiche (3', 16'), Guruzeta (62'), Muniain (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Larin (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, January 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Betis
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Mallorca

Muriqi's return to fitness is huge for Mallorca, and it would not be a surprise to see him on the scoresheet for the visitors here. Athletic will be determined to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight, though, and we are expecting them to navigate their way to all three points on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 20.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Mallorca
54.21% ( 0.22)	25.03% ( -0.03)	20.76% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 46.82% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.18% (

-0.12)

54.82% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.88% (

-0.1)

76.12% (

0.1)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.79% (

0.04)

20.21% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.48% (

0.06)

52.52% (

-0.07)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.67% (

-0.28)

41.33% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.16% (

-0.25)

77.84% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 54.2%

Mallorca 20.76%

Draw 25.04%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.2%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.76%