La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Valencia

de Marcos (32'), Berenguer (90+7')
Paredes (12'), Garcia (55'), Ruiz de Galarreta (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (62'), Duro (68')
Amallah (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Cadiz
Monday, October 23 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Valencia

Valencia are certainly good enough to claim a positive result on Sunday, and it would not be a surprise to see a draw here. Athletic have been strong at home this season, though, and we are expecting Valverde's side to navigate their way to what would be an important three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Valencia
51.9% ( -0.75)	25.97% ( 0.35)	22.13% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 45.98% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.16% (

-0.87)

56.84% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.23% (

-0.7)

77.77% (

0.71)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.02% (

-0.68)

21.98% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.71% (

-1.04)

55.28% (

1.04)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.94% (

-0.09)

41.06% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.39% (

-0.08)

77.61% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 51.89%

Valencia 22.13%

Draw 25.97%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.94% Total : 51.89%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.13%