La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Villarreal

Sancet (66')
Prados (10'), Williams (31'), Berchiche (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Parejo (90+5' pen.)
Albiol (34'), Comesana (35')
Comesana (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Mallorca (4-2 pen.)
Saturday, April 6 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Atletico
Monday, April 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Villarreal

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, with Villarreal in strong form, while Athletic are battling to break into the top four. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Sunday, but we are expecting the hosts to navigate their way to an important three points at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Villarreal
60.03% ( 0.01)	21.72% ( -0)	18.25% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.81% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.23% (

0.01)

44.77% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.87% (

0.01)

67.13% (

-0)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

14.5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.51% (

0.01)

42.5% (

-0.01)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.76% (

38.24% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25% (

75% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 60.01%

Villarreal 18.25%

Draw 21.72%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.4% 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.7% Total : 60.01%	1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.72%	0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.25%