We expect Rayo to showcase their top-flight quality and claim a comfortable victory, but even if Atletico Lugones suffer a heavy defeat, it will not stop Wednesday's contest from being an historic moment for the club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 96.84%. A draw had a probability of 2.7% and a win for Atletico Lugones had a probability of 0.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-4 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.88%) and 0-5 (12.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.23%), while for an Atletico Lugones win it was 1-0 (0.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Atletico Lugones	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
0.48% ( 0.02)	2.69% ( 0.06)	96.84% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 19.9% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.49% (

-0.15)

18.52% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.05% (

-0.22)

35.95% (

0.22)

Atletico Lugones Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

20.21% (

0.29)

79.79% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

2.2% (

0.07)

97.81% (

-0.06)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.46% (

-0.02)

1.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

92.04% (

-0.1)

7.96% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Atletico Lugones 0.48%

Rayo Vallecano 96.82%

Draw 2.69%

Atletico Lugones	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
Other @ 0.48% Total : 0.48%	0-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 2.69%	0-4 @ 15.53% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 14.88% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 12.96% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 10.69% ( 0.05) 0-6 @ 9.02% ( -0.1) 0-7 @ 5.38% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.51% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 0-8 @ 2.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 1-6 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 0-9 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 1-7 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 96.82%