La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
3 - 3
Getafe

Griezmann (44', 69' pen.), Morata (63')
Savic (15'), Hermoso (90')
Savic (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mayoral (53', 90+3' pen.), Rodriguez (87')
Milla (52'), Suarez (68'), Rodriguez (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Atletico
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Getafe

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 0-3 Getafe
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Getafe

Getafe are flying at the moment, and they will enter this match full of confidence. However, Atletico have been so strong at home this season, and Simeone's side will be determined to bounce back from their loss at the weekend. Getafe have enough about them to claim a positive result, but we are just expecting the home side to shade a close game on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 8.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.88%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Getafe
74.04% ( -0.19)	17.07% ( 0.17)	8.88% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 41.37% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.22% (

-0.69)

45.78% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.9% (

-0.66)

68.09% (

0.66)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.2% (

-0.24)

10.8% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.17% (

-0.52)

34.83% (

0.52)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.38% (

-0.41)

53.62% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.96% (

-0.26)

87.04% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 74.03%

Getafe 8.88%

Draw 17.07%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Getafe
2-0 @ 14.34% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 74.03%	1-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.47% Total : 17.07%	0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 8.88%