Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
2 - 3
Bayern

Demirovic (52', 90+4' pen.)
Mbabu (19'), Iago (69')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pavlovic (23'), Davies (45+5'), Kane (58')
de Ligt (6'), Pavlovic (67'), Sane (80'), Guerreiro (90+6'), Goretzka (90+7'), Neuer (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Augsburg
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Bayern Munich

Augsburg's recent home record against Bayern bodes well ahead of Saturday's contest, but their 21-game run without keeping a clean sheet is a cause for concern when coming up against a Bavarian outfit who have scored in each of their last 21 Bundesliga away games. The hosts have the ability to frustrate Bayern, but Tuchel's men will likely dominate proceedings at the WWK Arena and should have few problems outscoring their opponents en route to another important victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-3 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
13.76% ( 0.08)	16.27% ( 0.04)	69.97% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 62.44% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.45% (

27.55% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.82% (

48.18% (

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.22% (

0.1)

32.79% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.65% (

0.12)

69.35% (

-0.11)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.9% (

-0.02)

7.1% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.11% (

-0.06)

25.89% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 13.76%

Bayern Munich 69.97%

Draw 16.27%

Augsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 13.76%	1-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.33% 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.27%	1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.18% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.95% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.56% 1-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 69.97%