Having avoided defeat in each of their last eight home games, Bari are not expected to lose on Friday, but they could struggle to claim the win that would take them to the playoff final. Holding a vital 1-0 lead, Sudtoril look set to make life difficult for the Cockerels, so we expect the visitors to snatch a draw and book their place in the showpiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bari in this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Sudtirol
49.78% ( 0.02)	27.57%	22.64% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.41% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.22% (

-0)

61.78% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.43% (

-0)

81.57% (

0.01)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93% (

0.01)

25.07% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.25% (

0.01)

59.75% (

-0)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.6% (

-0.02)

43.4% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.38% (

-0.01)

79.62% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Bari 49.78%

Sudtirol 22.64%

Draw 27.56%

Bari	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.1% Total : 49.78%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1% Total : 22.64%