Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 17, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Frankfurt

Okoh Boniface (14'), Frimpong (51'), Wirtz (57')
Palacios (12')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gotze (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Molde
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Frankfurt
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

With the title of Herbstmeisterschaft (winter champions) up for grabs here, Leverkusen show no signs of slowing down, and another win is set to come to extend their phenomenal start. Despite their stunning win last weekend, Frankfurt have not been showing much form at all and suffered another defeat in midweek, albeit with a rotated side, and are big underdogs here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
61.04% ( 0.51)	20.03% ( -0.35)	18.93% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 60.05% (

0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.16% (

1.42)

35.84% (

-1.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.07% (

1.55)

57.92% (

-1.55)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.61% (

0.57)

11.39% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.87% (

1.23)

36.13% (

-1.22)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

0.69)

32.23% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

0.77)

68.72% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 61.04%

Eintracht Frankfurt 18.93%

Draw 20.03%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.64% Total : 61.04%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.03%	1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 18.93%