DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals

Apr 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
Dusseldorf

Frimpong (7'), Adli (20'), Wirtz (35', 60' pen.)

FT(HT: 3-0)

Tzolis (37')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Fortuna Dusseldorf, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Dusseldorf

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Kaiserslautern 1-3 Dusseldorf
Saturday, March 30 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Fortuna Dusseldorf

Leverkusen remain unbeaten heading into the ninth month of the season and are strong favourites heading into this game against lower-league Dusseldorf, leading us to believe they will extend their run to 40 games without defeat with victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
65.53% ( -1.5)	18.93% ( 0.72)	15.54% ( 0.78)

Both teams to score 56.64% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.1% (

-1.82)

36.89% (

1.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.93% (

-2)

59.07% (

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.46% (

-0.87)

10.54% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.76% (

-1.99)

34.24% (

1.99)

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31% (

-0.16)

36.69% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52% (

-0.16)

73.48% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 65.53%

Fortuna Dusseldorf 15.54%

Draw 18.93%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.19) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.82% Total : 65.53%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.93%	1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.24% Total : 15.54%