Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Roi Baudouin

Belgium
1 - 1
Austria

Lukaku (61')
Lukaku (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gregoritsch (21')
Wober (32'), Posch (53'), Schlager (69'), Schlager (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belgium and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Germany 2-3 Belgium
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	2	4	6
2	Belgium	1	3	3
3	Sweden	2	2	3
4	Estonia	1	-1	0
5	Azerbaijan	2	-8	0

Austria

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Austria 2-1 Estonia
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	2	4	6
2	Belgium	1	3	3
3	Sweden	2	2	3
4	Estonia	1	-1	0
5	Azerbaijan	2	-8	0

Given that Belgium have scored three goals in each of their two matches under Tedesco, we expect the Red Devils to secure another high-scoring victory over Austria, who have managed to keep just two clean sheets in their previous nine games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Austria had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Austria
45.24% ( 0.49)	26.45% ( -0.04)	28.31% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 50.09% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.75% (

-0.06)

54.25% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35% (

-0.05)

75.65% (

0.05)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1% (

0.21)

23.9% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.89% (

0.3)

58.11% (

-0.3)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.83% (

-0.38)

34.17% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.14% (

-0.41)

70.86% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Belgium 45.23%

Austria 28.31%

Draw 26.45%

Belgium	Draw	Austria
1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.23%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.27% Total : 28.31%