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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Almeria

Betis
3 - 2
Almeria

Fornals (8'), Isco (28'), Perez (64')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baptistao (45+1'), Romero (66')
Pena (40'), Chumi (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Betis
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Betis 2-0 Almeria

Almeria will certainly have gained confidence from their success over Rayo last time out, but this is a different test entirely, with Real Betis pushing for the top six, and we are expecting a routine home success for Pellegrini's side on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawAlmeria
58.14% (0.585 0.59) 21.82% (0.138 0.14) 20.03% (-0.721 -0.72)
Both teams to score 55.62% (-1.65 -1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43% (-1.633 -1.63)42.57% (1.637 1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (-1.648 -1.65)64.97% (1.651 1.65)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (-0.355 -0.36)14.36% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.77% (-0.7 -0.7)42.23% (0.704 0.7)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-1.648 -1.65)35.05% (1.653 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (-1.768 -1.77)71.8% (1.773 1.77)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 58.14%
    Almeria 20.03%
    Draw 21.82%
Real BetisDrawAlmeria
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.576 0.58)
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.441 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.209 0.21)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.14%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.358 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Betis vs Almeria

Real Betis
88.9%
Draw
6.3%
Almeria
4.8%
63
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Almeria
0-0
Betis
Roca (52'), Diao (73'), Silva (83')
Bellerin (27')
Feb 11, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 21
Almeria
2-3
Betis
Suarez Charris (27'), Samu (62')
Rodri (6'), Canales (42'), Guardado (70')
Oct 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Betis
3-1
Almeria
Carvalho (23', 71'), Iglesias (66')
Dec 16, 2014 9pm
Round Four
Almeria
2-1
Betis
Michel (59'), Zongo (74')
Michel (9'), Bifouma (46'), Trujillo (71'), Corona (84')
Perquis (78')
Perquis (50'), Piccini (61')
Dec 5, 2014 9pm
Round Four
Betis
3-4
Almeria
Castro (80'), Perquis (86'), Molina (90')
Perquis (36'), Caro (60'), Casado (63')
Mane (3'), Dangda (7'), Quique (29'), Mendez (61')
Sanchez (46'), Dangda (57')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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