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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City

Birmingham
0 - 0
Bristol City

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Bristol City

Birmingham's defence has been the leakiest in the Championship since Rooney took charge, and with injuries meaning that they cannot immediately change the personnel in their backline, it could be another scary watch for Bluenoses on Friday. Bristol City will be full of confidence as they head to St Andrew's following their Vicarage Road romp, and although we do not believe that the scoreline will be as convincing, we expect the Robins to earn maximum points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
34.87% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 26.79% (0.0040000000000013 0) 38.34% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)53.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)75.09% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)29.26% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.22% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 34.87%
    Bristol City 38.34%
    Draw 26.78%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 34.87%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.34%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol City

Birmingham City
15.0%
Draw
20.0%
Bristol City
65.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol City
0-2
Birmingham

Dickie (38'), Dickie (76')
Dickie (76')
Miyoshi (45+3'), Jutkiewicz (84')
Sunjic (20'), Buchanan (52')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bristol City
4-2
Birmingham
Semenyo (17'), Wells (21'), Sykes (47', 66')
Deeney (34' pen.), Khadra (76')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol City
Trusty (3', 43'), Sanderson (75')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
1-2
Birmingham
Scott (48')
Klose (31'), Scott (86')
Chong (2'), Gordon (13')
Gardner (90+3')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol City
McGree (14'), Hogan (68'), Gardner (77')

Bakinson (82'), Weimann (87')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
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Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
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Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
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Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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