Championship

Championship | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 5.15pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
1 - 3
Stoke

Stansfield (69')
Miyoshi (12'), Bacuna (33')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Thompson (12'), Gooch (31'), Vidigal (53')
Vidigal (34'), Tchamadeu (51'), Bae (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Birmingham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Stoke City

Birmingham have improved offensively during the last few matches and could display their progression against a Stoke side who are in the midst of a woeful winless run. The Potters looked more organised under the stewardship of Schumacher last time out, but we are predicting a Boxing Day defeat for the visitors at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Stoke City
33.61% ( -0.9)	25.51% ( -0.39)	40.88% ( 1.28)

Both teams to score 55.47% (

1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.61% (

1.5)

48.39% (

-1.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.47% (

1.35)

70.52% (

-1.36)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48% (

0.17)

27.51% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.98% (

0.22)

63.02% (

-0.22)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

1.33)

23.47% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.51% (

1.89)

57.48% (

-1.89)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 33.61%

Stoke City 40.88%

Draw 25.5%

Birmingham City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.61%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.88%