FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)

Blackburn
5 - 2
Cambridge

Szmodics (23', 37', 45+3'), Sigurdsson (66'), Leonard (81')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Lankester (6'), Kaikai (26')
Bennett (53')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Rotherham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Cambridge 0-2 Leyton Orient
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Cambridge United

Given Blackburn's most recent form, Cambridge will fancy their chances of causing an upset at Ewood Park. However, despite their frailties, Blackburn have plenty of quality in attack, leading us to predict a home victory with something to spare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Cambridge United
52.19% ( -0.03)	22.89% ( 0.01)	24.92% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.64% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.34% (

-0.01)

41.66% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.94% (

-0.01)

64.06% (

0.01)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.97% (

-0.01)

16.03% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.63% (

-0.02)

45.36% (

0.03)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.84% (

0.02)

30.16% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.69% (

0.02)

66.31% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 52.19%

Cambridge United 24.92%

Draw 22.89%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Cambridge United
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 52.19%	1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.89%	1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.92%