Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
4 - 0
Lecce

Beukema (5'), Orsolini (27', 49'), Odgaard (82')
Calafiori (34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

D'Aversa (35'), Almqvist (41'), Oudin (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bologna 2-0 Lecce

Bologna are brilliant at home, while Lecce have been woeful away. Surely the hosts should secure back-to-back wins at the Salentini's expense, helping them keep pace with Italy's top four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Lecce
58.86% ( -0.03)	24.04% ( 0.01)	17.1% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.81% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.3% (

0.01)

55.69% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.16% (

0.01)

76.84% (

-0.01)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.25% (

-0)

18.74% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.87% (

-0.01)

50.12% (

0.01)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.91% (

0.04)

46.09% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.21% (

0.03)

81.79% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Bologna 58.85%

Lecce 17.1%

Draw 24.04%

Bologna	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 14.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.24% 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 58.85%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.42% Total : 17.1%