Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 7, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
2 - 0
Newcastle

Fullkrug (26'), Brandt (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hall (9')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Dortmund 0-4 Bayern
Saturday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Newcastle United
41.91% ( -5.52)	23.16% ( -0.44)	34.93% ( 5.96)

Both teams to score 64.28% (

4.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.94% (

4.69)

37.06% (

-4.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.75% (

4.9)

59.25% (

-4.9)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82% (

-0.36)

18.18% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.83% (

-0.62)

49.17% (

0.62)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.57% (

5.8)

21.43% (

-5.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.56% (

8.22)

54.44% (

-8.21)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 41.91%

Newcastle United 34.93%

Draw 23.16%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.67) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( -1.73) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -1.56) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.44) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.93) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.42) Other @ 3.78% Total : 41.91%	1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.65) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.61) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.96) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.44) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.16%	1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.8) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.98) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.8) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.59) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.56) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.47) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.34) Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.93%