Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
2 - 0
PSV

(Borussia Dortmund win 3-1 on aggregate)

Sancho (3'), Reus (90+5')
Sule (88'), Nmecha (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Borussia Dortmund book their spot in the quarter-finals of the Champions League courtesy of a 2-0 victory over PSV Eindhoven in the second leg of their last-16 contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 PSV
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.9%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
30.66% ( -0.7)	21.46% ( 0.13)	47.88% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 68.95% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.77% (

-1.07)

30.23% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.53% (

-1.3)

51.47% (

1.31)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

-0.9)

20.45% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

-1.46)

52.9% (

1.47)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.67% (

-0.21)

13.33% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.81% (

-0.43)

40.19% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 30.66%

PSV Eindhoven 47.88%

Draw 21.46%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.66%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.46%	1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 47.88%