Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Nov 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK

Borussia M'bach
4 - 0
Wolfsburg

Cvancara (16'), Reitz (42'), Honorat (64'), Plea (71')
Elvedi (29')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Arnold (33'), Vranckx (69'), Cozza (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-2 Wolfsburg

Four of the last seven meetings between these sides have ended in draws, with Gladbach winning the other three games, while both sides had to settle on sharing the spoils last weekend. As such, we would not be surprised to see another draw play out on Friday night, but it should be an entertaining one given that these teams have been much more proficient at attacking than defending in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Wolfsburg
44.69% ( 0.69)	22.57% ( -0.17)	32.74% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 65.79% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.21% (

0.64)

34.78% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.25% (

0.71)

56.75% (

-0.72)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84% (

0.52)

16.16% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.38% (

0.93)

45.61% (

-0.93)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47% (

0.02)

21.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.4% (

0.03)

54.59% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 44.69%

Wolfsburg 32.74%

Draw 22.57%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.75% Total : 44.69%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.57%	1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.59% Total : 32.74%