Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Mar 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth
4 - 3
Luton

Solanke (50'), Zabarnyi (62'), Semenyo (64', 83')
Smith (69')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Chong (9'), Ogbene (31'), Barkley (45+1')
Clark (30'), Ogbene (66')

The Match

Match Report

Bournemouth astonishingly fight back from three goals down to beat Luton Town 4-3 in the Premier League at the Vitality Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Luton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Luton Town
57.33% ( -0.03)	21.57% ( 0.04)	21.1% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.25% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.1% (

-0.17)

39.9% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.74% (

-0.18)

62.26% (

0.19)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.27% (

-0.07)

13.73% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.01% (

-0.14)

41% (

0.14)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.52% (

-0.1)

32.48% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.99% (

-0.11)

69.01% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 57.33%

Luton Town 21.1%

Draw 21.57%

Bournemouth	Draw	Luton Town
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 57.33%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.57%	1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.43% Total : 21.1%