Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 1
Union Berlin

Djalo (51')
Gomez (33'), Zalazar (45+1'), Jorge (90+3')
Niakate (31')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gosens (42')
Knoche (3'), Tousart (39'), Bonucci (45+4'), Khedira (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Braga and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Braga
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Braga 2-0 Union Berlin

Braga will be confident in taking advantage of an out-of-form Union side to keep their hopes of the knockout stages alive, especially considering their blistering recent attacking form. Union will be hoping for a new manager bounce under Bjelica, but with the morale of the squad still in tatters, it is tough to see them changing their fortunes in such a challenging encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Union Berlin
62.88% ( 0.01)	19.72% ( -0)	17.39% ( -0)

Both teams to score 58.03% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.94% (

0.01)

37.06% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.74% (

0.01)

59.26% (

-0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.73% (

0.01)

11.27% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.13% (

0.01)

35.86% (

-0.01)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.4% (

34.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.68% (

71.32%

Score Analysis

Braga 62.88%

Union Berlin 17.39%

Draw 19.73%

Braga	Draw	Union Berlin
2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.55% Total : 62.88%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.23% 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.73%	1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.39%