Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2024 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
0 - 0
Nice

Lees-Melou (45'), Camara (55'), Chardonnet (76')

Ndayishimiye (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 2-2 Brest
Sunday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 1-0 Metz
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both these sides come into this match carrying good form, but Brest's home record this season has been excellent, while Nice have been struggling on the road in recent weeks. The Eaglets are on a three-match losing streak in away games and were beaten by this opponent at this venue 1-0 last season. We feel that the hosts will be able to claim another slender victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Nice
40.06% ( -0.16)	27.51% ( -0.04)	32.42% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 48.77% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.19% (

0.19)

56.81% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.25% (

0.15)

77.74% (

-0.15)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

27.75% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68% (

63.32% (

-0)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

0.24)

32.49% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.98% (

0.27)

69.02% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Brest 40.05%

Nice 32.42%

Draw 27.51%

Brest	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.05%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.42%