Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
1 - 0
Roma

(Roma win 4-1 on aggregate)

Welbeck (37')
Lamptey (31'), Estupinan (40'), De Zerbi (40')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mancini (12'), De Rossi (24'), N'Dicka (35'), Pellegrini (40'), Svilar (45+1'), Celik (86')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion are knocked out of the Europa League after losing 4-1 on aggregate to Roma, despite beating the Italian side 1-0 in the second leg of their last-16 tie.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Roma

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Roma
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Roma
51.67% ( 0.01)	24.02% ( 0)	24.31% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.19% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.75% (

-0.01)

47.24% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.53% (

-0.01)

69.47% (

0.01)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72% (

-0)

18.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.65% (

-0)

49.34%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.31% (

-0.01)

33.68% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66% (

-0.02)

70.34% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 51.66%

Roma 24.31%

Draw 24.02%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.48% 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.66%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 6.7% 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.31%