Women's World Cup | Group Stage

Jul 31, 2023 at 11am UK

AAMI Park

Canada Women
0 - 4
Australia Women

FT(HT: 0-2)

Raso (9', 39'), Fowler (58'), Catley (90+4' pen.)
Gustavsson (45+5'), van Egmond (68'), Arnold (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Women's World Cup clash between Canada Women and Australia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Canada Women 2-1 Ireland Women
Wednesday, July 26 at 1pm in Women's World Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria Women	2	1	4
2	Canada Women	2	1	4
3	Australia Women	2	0	3
4	Ireland Women	2	-2	0

Australia Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Australia Women 2-3 Nigeria Women
Thursday, July 27 at 11am in Women's World Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria Women	2	1	4
2	Canada Women	2	1	4
3	Australia Women	2	0	3
4	Ireland Women	2	-2	0

We said: Canada Women 1-2 Australia Women

Australia will be determined to avoid a group-stage exit at their own tournament, and with Kerr set to return to the fold, we think that the Matildas will have the firepower required to claim a crucial victory in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 82.91%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 5.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.19%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.56%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Australia Women would win this match.

Result
Canada Women	Draw	Australia Women
82.91% ( -0.01)	11.68% ( 0.04)	5.41% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 42.53% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.38% (

-0.44)

33.62% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.57% (

-0.5)

55.43% (

0.49)

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.02% (

-0.09)

5.98% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.17% (

-0.24)

22.83% (

0.24)

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.23% (

-0.46)

54.77% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.26% (

-0.27)

87.74% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Canada Women 82.9%

Australia Women 5.41%

Draw 11.68%

Canada Women	Draw	Australia Women
2-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 82.9%	1-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.49% Total : 11.68%	0-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 5.41%