League One

League One | Gameweek 37

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
3 - 2
Carlisle

May (37', 75'), Kanu (54')
Anderson (7'), Edmonds-Green (46')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Armstrong (20'), Charters (63' pen.)
McGeouch (44')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Charlton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Reading
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Charlton Athletic 3-1 Carlisle United

Charlton will be full of confidence after winning two of their last three matches, and we think that they will do enough to sweep past Carlisle and claim their first home win since November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Carlisle United
49.63% ( -0.05)	24.71% ( 0.06)	25.66% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.37% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.01% (

-0.24)

48.99% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92% (

-0.22)

71.07% (

0.22)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.24% (

-0.11)

19.76% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.19% (

-0.19)

51.81% (

0.19)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

-0.13)

33.49% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88% (

-0.15)

70.12% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 49.62%

Carlisle United 25.66%

Draw 24.71%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 49.62%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.66%