Chelsea

0 - 1

Aston Villa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.