Chelsea

1 - 1

Newcastle

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.