Cittadella

2 - 0

Palermo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.