Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Fortuna Arena

Czech Republic
1 - 1
Albania

Cerny (56')
Provod (90+6'), Chytil (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bajrami (66')
Asani (52'), Bajrami (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Czech Republic and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Czech Republic

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Montenegro 1-4 Czech Republic
Tuesday, June 20 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	3	5	7
2	Albania	3	3	6
3	Moldova	4	-1	5
4	Poland	3	-2	3
5	Faroe Islands	3	-5	1

Albania

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Faroe Islands 1-3 Albania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	3	5	7
2	Albania	3	3	6
3	Moldova	4	-1	5
4	Poland	3	-2	3
5	Faroe Islands	3	-5	1

We said: Czech Republic 1-0 Albania

As Albania have won just twice since the start of 2022 - both times versus modest opposition - coming away from Prague with a point may be too much to ask. Despite having some potential game-changers in their squad, the Eagles lack the nous of their hosts, who do not tend to concede many goals against nations of a similar stature. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Albania had a probability of 22.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Czech Republic	Draw	Albania
53.29% ( -0.08)	24.07% ( -0.01)	22.63% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 52.06% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88% (

0.11)

49.11% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81% (

0.1)

71.18% (

-0.1)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63% (

0.01)

18.36% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.51% (

0.02)

49.48% (

-0.02)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.77% (

0.14)

36.22% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.99% (

0.15)

73% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Czech Republic 53.29%

Albania 22.63%

Draw 24.07%

Czech Republic	Draw	Albania
1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.29%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.63%