Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 26, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
1 - 0
Mainz

Gotze (72')
Pacho (24'), Nkounkou (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Widmer (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Darmstadt 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Mainz 05

Frankfurt's slip-up last weekend shows they may find it tougher to retain a spot in Europe again this season and could find it difficult despite coming into the game as favourites. Mainz have been very difficult to beat since Siewert took over, and while they do need to start winning games soon, another draw here would be a good result for Die Nullfunfer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eintracht Frankfurt in this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Mainz 05
43.9% ( 0.13)	25.05% ( -0)	31.05% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 56.05% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.78% (

-0.03)

47.22% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.55% (

-0.03)

69.45% (

0.03)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

0.05)

21.52% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.42% (

0.07)

54.58% (

-0.07)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42% (

-0.1)

28.58% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.62% (

-0.13)

64.38% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 43.9%

Mainz 05 31.05%

Draw 25.05%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 43.9%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.05%