Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 20, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 0
Napoli

Cerri (4')
Pezzella (54'), Bereszynski (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jesus (37'), Ngonge (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Empoli
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Frosinone
Sunday, April 14 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Though not as accurate as they would like, Napoli have attempted the most shots in Serie A this season; by contrast, Empoli have faced the second-most. That should indicate the likely direction of play at Stadio Castellani, but it may still be only one goal that splits these sides by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Napoli
19.99% ( -0.32)	23.41% ( 0)	56.6% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 50.43% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

-0.43)

49.43% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

-0.38)

71.47% (

0.39)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.95% (

-0.58)

39.04% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.23% (

-0.56)

75.76% (

0.56)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74% (

-0.04)

17.26% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.41% (

-0.07)

47.59% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Empoli 19.99%

Napoli 56.59%

Draw 23.41%

Empoli	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.99%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.39% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.59%