Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 2

Aug 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Lecce

Gonzalez (3'), Duncan (25')
Martinez (59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rafia (49'), Krstovic (76')
Pongracic (15'), Gendrey (54'), Chinazaekpere Dorgu (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, August 24 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Lazio
Sunday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina may have failed to score in midweek, but they generally find the target on home soil and should be able to breach Lecce's defence more than once. Boasting an array of attacking options, the Viola are well placed to start the Serie A season with back-to-back wins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Lecce
57.86% ( 0.21)	23.28% ( -0.12)	18.87% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 49.04% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.64% (

0.34)

50.36% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.7% (

0.3)

72.3% (

-0.3)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.85% (

0.2)

17.15% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.62% (

0.34)

47.38% (

-0.35)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.19% (

0.09)

40.82% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.61% (

0.08)

77.39% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 57.85%

Lecce 18.87%

Draw 23.27%

Fiorentina	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 57.85%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.27%	0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.87%