Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Oct 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 0
Augsburg

Grifo (5' pen.), Lienhart (56')
Rohl (50'), Sildillia (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Breithaupt (60'), Michel (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Mainz
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 1-0 Augsburg

Freiburg have been far from at their best in recent weeks, while Augsburg will arrive with renewed confidence after picking up their first win of the season in their last match. However, we expect the hosts to edge to a narrow victory in what is likely to be a tight encounter, with Streich and his players knowing that they can not afford their winless streak to continue much longer if they are to have another successful campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Augsburg
51.79% ( 0.43)	23.53% ( 0.01)	24.68% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 56.21% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.23% (

-0.45)

44.77% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.87% (

-0.43)

67.13% (

0.43)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.69% (

-0.01)

17.3% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.34% (

-0.02)

47.66% (

0.01)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

-0.6)

32.03% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5% (

-0.69)

68.49% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 51.79%

Augsburg 24.68%

Draw 23.53%

Freiburg	Draw	Augsburg
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.79%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.53%	0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.68%