Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 23, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
1 - 2
Juventus

Baez (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yildiz (12'), Vlahovic (81')
Cambiaso (20'), McKennie (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 0-4 Frosinone
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Juventus
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Frosinone 0-1 Juventus

After both clubs veered from the script last time out, it will be business as usual for 1-0 specialists Juventus, who will have to withstand the threat of several young players developed in their Under-23 side. Frosinone may have borrowed some talented kids, but Juve's hard-bitten nous should secure them three more points in the Scudetto race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Juventus
28.73% ( -0.2)	26.27% ( 0.29)	45% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 50.89% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.66% (

-1.27)

53.34% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.12% (

-1.09)

74.88% (

1.08)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.63% (

-0.82)

33.37% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.01% (

-0.91)

69.99% (

0.91)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

-0.6)

23.62% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29% (

-0.86)

57.71% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 28.73%

Juventus 45%

Draw 26.27%

Frosinone	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.73%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45%