Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
We said: Frosinone 1-2 Roma
Roma may not have things all their own way - Frosinone are tough to beat on home turf and have scored half of their Serie A goals via set-pieces - but the visitors should still have the guile to prevail at Stadio Stirpe. A fresh approach under new management has certainly raised hopes of improving the Giallorossi's dismal away record.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.3% . A win for Frosinone had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.92%) . The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result Frosinone Draw Roma 25.97% ( 0.21) 25.73% ( 0.01) 48.3% ( -0.22)
Both teams to score 50.5% ( 0.14)
47.12% ( 0.09) 52.88% ( -0.09)
25.51% ( 0.08) 74.49% ( -0.08)
64.67% ( 0.22) 35.33% ( -0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.91% ( 0.23) 72.09% ( -0.23)
78.09% ( -0.06) 21.9% ( 0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.83% ( -0.09) 55.16% ( 0.09)
Frosinone 25.97%
Roma 48.3%
Draw 25.72%
Frosinone Draw Roma 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 25.97% 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.72% 0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.3%
How you voted: Frosinone vs Roma
120
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:41:31
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